FC Midtjylland 55%Draw 21%Aarhus 24%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.16
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Midtjylland to win ✗55% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: FC Midtjylland v Aarhus in the DBU Pokalen, played at MCH Arena.
Current form
FC Midtjylland, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Brondby, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Aarhus, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vejle, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Midtjylland 1.8 xG, Aarhus 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Midtjylland 55%, draw 21%, Aarhus 24%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Midtjylland 1–1 Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Midtjylland55%fair 1.83 · @1.89
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.70
Aarhus24%fair 4.18 · @3.65
2.98Expected goals
1.82FC Midtjylland xG
1.16Aarhus xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 1.8 – 1.2 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Midtjylland to win✗
55%
1.83
1.89
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Draw no bet
FC Midtjylland (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Aarhus +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
FC Midtjylland to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
FC Midtjylland ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Midtjylland / FT FC Midtjylland✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
FC Midtjylland – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs Brondby
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Silkeborg
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Odense
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aarhus – last 3
WWD
1 Mar
@ Vejle
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Viborg
5–2
W
15 Feb
@ FC Fredericia
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Midtjylland and Aarhus.
What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aarhus 24%.
How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 1–1 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?
FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus (DBU Pokalen) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
