Value bet: Newells Old Boys to win @ 3.55 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewells Old Boys to win ✗34% · @3.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗68% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.57
Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 16 February the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Deportivo Riestra against Newells Old Boys at Estadio Guillermo Laza. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 28th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 32 matches; Newells Old Boys are 22nd (lower half) with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 0.9 xG, Newells Old Boys 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 34%, draw 32%, Newells Old Boys 34%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Newells Old Boys to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Newells Old Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Riestra34%fair 2.94 · @2.34
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @2.78
Newells Old Boys34%fair 2.90 · @3.55
1.91Expected goals
0.89Deportivo Riestra xG
1.02Newells Old Boys xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.9 – 1.0 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newells Old Boys to win✗
34%
2.90
3.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
68%
1.46
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Newells Old Boys (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Riestra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Newells Old Boys to score first✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.57
–
Recent results
Deportivo Riestra
No recent results on record.
Newells Old Boys
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Newells Old Boys.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Newells Old Boys 34%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?
Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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