Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.51 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.51Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓58% · @1.66
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes L.P. welcome Sarmiento Junin to Estadio Ciudad de La Plata for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Friday 20 February (21:45 WAT). In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 11th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 xG, Sarmiento Junin 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 58%, draw 26%, Sarmiento Junin 16%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes L.P.58%fair 1.72 · @1.66
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Sarmiento Junin16%fair 6.40 · @6.25
2.15Expected goals
1.44Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.71Sarmiento Junin xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 – 0.7 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✓
58%
1.72
1.66
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.50 ▲
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Junin +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.51
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Estudiantes L.P. – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Junin – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Sarmiento Junin.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sarmiento Junin 16%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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