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Gimnasia M. v Gimnasia L.P.: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Víctor Legrotaglie
Gimnasia M. 36%Draw 28%Gimnasia L.P. 36% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.15
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia M. to win ✗36% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.34

Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimnasia L.P. travel to face Gimnasia M. on Saturday 21 February in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Víctor Legrotaglie the venue – the ball rolls at 02:15 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia L.P. are 5th (upper half) with 57. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.1 xG, Gimnasia L.P. 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 36%, draw 28%, Gimnasia L.P. 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia M.36%fair 2.76 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.90
Gimnasia L.P.36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.28Expected goals
1.13Gimnasia M. xG
1.15Gimnasia L.P. xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.1 – 1.1 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnasia M. to win ✗36%2.762.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.39
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.25 ▲
Draw no betGimnasia M. (draw no bet) ✗50%1.98–
Asian handicapGimnasia M. +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.611.60
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.02
First team to scoreGimnasia L.P. to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimnasia L.P. / FT Gimnasia L.P. ✓20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.34–

Recent results

Gimnasia M. – last 1

L
14 Feb@ Talleres Cordoba1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Gimnasia L.P. – last 1

D
15 Febvs Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Gimnasia L.P..

Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P.?

On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gimnasia L.P. 36%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P.?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 1–1 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.