Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓37% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.84
Lanus vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lanus welcome Boca Juniors to Estadio Ciudad de Lanus for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Thursday 5 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Lanus are 9th, upper half, on 50 points after 32 matches; Boca Juniors are 1st (leading the league) with 63. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lanus, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensa Y Justicia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Boca Juniors, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gimnasia Chivilcoy, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lanus 0.9 xG, Boca Juniors 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lanus 32%, draw 31%, Boca Juniors 37%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lanus 0–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lanus32%fair 3.09 · @2.78
Draw31%fair 3.25 · @2.85
Boca Juniors37%fair 2.71 · @2.78
2.02Expected goals
0.92Lanus xG
1.10Boca Juniors xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lanus 0.9 – 1.1 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✓
37%
2.71
2.78
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.62
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Lanus +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Boca Juniors to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.84
–
Recent results
Lanus – last 3
DLW
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 3
WDD
25 Feb
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Platense
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Boca Juniors.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Lanus have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Boca Juniors 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Lanus 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lanus vs Boca Juniors?
Lanus vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
