Platense 42%Draw 29%Defensa Y Justicia 29%Expected goals 1.11 – 0.88
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Defensa Y Justicia to win @ 3.90 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlatense to win ✗42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Platense welcome Defensa Y Justicia to Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Tuesday 24 February (21:00 WAT). In the table, Platense are 24th, lower half, on 36 points after 32 matches; Defensa Y Justicia are 14th (upper half) with 47.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Platense 1.1 xG, Defensa Y Justicia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Platense 42%, draw 29%, Defensa Y Justicia 29%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Defensa Y Justicia to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Platense42%fair 2.36 · @2.14
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.92
Defensa Y Justicia29%fair 3.46 · @3.90
1.98Expected goals
1.11Platense xG
0.88Defensa Y Justicia xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Platense 1.1 – 0.9 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platense to win✗
42%
2.36
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.55
Draw no bet
Platense (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Defensa Y Justicia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Platense to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Platense / FT Platense✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.57
–
Recent results
Platense – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Defensa Y Justicia – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platense and Defensa Y Justicia.
What is the prediction for Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
On our numbers Platense have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Defensa Y Justicia 29%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our predicted score is Platense 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
