Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✗71% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.18
Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes L.P. welcome Velez Sarsfield to Estadio Ciudad de La Plata for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Monday 2 March (23:15 WAT). In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 11th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Velez Sarsfield are 6th (upper half) with 56.
Current form
Estudiantes L.P., last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Newells Old Boys, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Velez Sarsfield, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Riestra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Estudiantes L.P., collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Velez Sarsfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.1 xG, Velez Sarsfield 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 42%, draw 29%, Velez Sarsfield 29%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (71%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estudiantes L.P. or draw (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Velez Sarsfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes L.P.42%fair 2.37 · @2.20
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.76
Velez Sarsfield29%fair 3.50 · @3.95
2.05Expected goals
1.14Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.91Velez Sarsfield xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.1 – 0.9 Velez Sarsfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
42%
2.37
2.20
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✗
71%
1.40
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Velez Sarsfield +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.18
–
Recent results
Estudiantes L.P. – last 3
WWD
25 Feb
@ Newells Old Boys
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Velez Sarsfield – last 3
DWD
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Velez Sarsfield.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Velez Sarsfield 29%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Velez Sarsfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tigre2
Gimnasia L.P.2