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Independ. Rivadavia v River Plate: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Independ. Rivadavia 35%Draw 28%River Plate 37% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.20
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiver Plate to win ✗37% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.63

Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Tuesday 3 March: Independ. Rivadavia v River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 32 matches; River Plate are 7th (upper half) with 55. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

River Plate, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Banfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.1 xG, River Plate 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 35%, draw 28%, River Plate 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 River Plate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independ. Rivadavia35%fair 2.84 · @2.92
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
River Plate37%fair 2.72 · @2.54
2.33Expected goals
1.13Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.20River Plate xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.1 – 1.2 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiver Plate to win ✗37%2.722.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.95 ▲
Draw no betRiver Plate (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapIndepend. Rivadavia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreRiver Plate to score first47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT River Plate / FT River Plate ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.63–

Recent results

Independ. Rivadavia – last 2

DL
26 Feb@ Racing Club1–1D
15 Febvs Belgrano Cordoba0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

River Plate – last 4

WLWL
26 Febvs Banfield3–1W
22 Feb@ Velez Sarsfield0–1L
18 Febvs Ciudad de Bolívar1–0W
13 Feb@ Argentinos JRS0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Independ. Rivadavia and River Plate.

Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate?

On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and River Plate 37%.

How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate?

Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate?

Independ. Rivadavia vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.