Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗46% · @1.98
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 March the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Estudiantes L.P. against Lanus at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 11th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Lanus are 9th (upper half) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estudiantes L.P., last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Velez Sarsfield, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lanus, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Boca Juniors, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Estudiantes L.P., collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Lanus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.2 xG, Lanus 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 46%, draw 29%, Lanus 25%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estudiantes L.P. or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Lanus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes L.P.46%fair 2.17 · @1.98
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.10
Lanus25%fair 3.97 · @4.20
2.05Expected goals
1.20Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.85Lanus xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.2 – 0.9 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
46%
2.17
1.98
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Lanus +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P.✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
Estudiantes L.P. – last 4
LWWD
2 Mar
vs Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Newells Old Boys
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lanus – last 4
LDLW
5 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Lanus.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Lanus 25%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
