Lanus 54%Draw 28%Newells Old Boys 19%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.82
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLanus to win ✓54% · @1.69
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newells Old Boys travel to face Lanus on Tuesday 17 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Ciudad de Lanus the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Lanus are 9th, upper half, on 50 points after 32 matches; Newells Old Boys are 22nd (lower half) with 38. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lanus, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estudiantes L.P., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Newells Old Boys, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Platense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lanus, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.5 for Newells Old Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lanus 1.4 xG, Newells Old Boys 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lanus 54%, draw 28%, Newells Old Boys 19%.
Lower-risk option: Lanus or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lanus 1–1 Newells Old Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lanus54%fair 1.86 · @1.69
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.35
Newells Old Boys19%fair 5.34 · @5.60
2.20Expected goals
1.38Lanus xG
0.82Newells Old Boys xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Lanus 1.4 – 0.8 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanus to win✓
54%
1.86
1.69
Double chance
Lanus or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Lanus (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Newells Old Boys +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Lanus to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lanus / FT Lanus✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Lanus – last 5
WLDLW
14 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Newells Old Boys – last 4
DLLD
11 Mar
vs Platense
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Newells Old Boys.
What is the prediction for Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers Lanus have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Newells Old Boys 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is Lanus 1–1 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lanus vs Newells Old Boys?
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Racing Club2
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0