River Plate 61%Draw 24%Sarmiento Junin 16%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.70
61%
Betarazi pick
River Plate to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.20
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Liga Profesional Argentina brings River Plate against Sarmiento Junin at Estadio Mâs Monumental. Kick-off: 23:45 WAT. In the table, River Plate are 7th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
River Plate, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Huracan, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Racing Club, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours River Plate, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sarmiento Junin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.6 xG, Sarmiento Junin 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 61%, draw 24%, Sarmiento Junin 16%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was River Plate to win (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate61%fair 1.65 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Sarmiento Junin16%fair 6.43 · @7.00
2.28Expected goals
1.58River Plate xG
0.70Sarmiento Junin xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.6 – 0.7 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
61%
1.65
1.44
Double chance
River Plate or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.62
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Junin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
River Plate to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.20
–
Recent results
River Plate – last 6
WDWLWL
13 Mar
@ Huracan
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Banfield
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sarmiento Junin – last 5
DWLLL
11 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Union Santa Fe
1–3
L
20 Feb
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Sarmiento Junin.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is River Plate to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers River Plate have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarmiento Junin 16%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin?
River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mâs Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Talleres Cordoba0