Value bet: San Lorenzo to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Riestra to win ✗36% · @2.46
Double chanceDeportivo Riestra or draw ✓69% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Lorenzo travel to face Deportivo Riestra on Wednesday 25 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Guillermo Laza the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 28th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 32 matches; San Lorenzo are 18th (lower half) with 41. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Riestra, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Central Cordoba de Santiago, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
San Lorenzo, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Deportivo Rincon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours San Lorenzo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Riestra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 0.8 xG, San Lorenzo 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 36%, draw 33%, San Lorenzo 31%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Riestra or draw (69%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: San Lorenzo to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 0–0 San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Riestra36%fair 2.80 · @2.46
Draw33%fair 3.01 · @2.66
San Lorenzo31%fair 3.21 · @3.50
1.59Expected goals
0.81Deportivo Riestra xG
0.79San Lorenzo xG
42%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
1–016%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.8 – 0.8 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Riestra to win✗
36%
2.80
2.46
Double chance
Deportivo Riestra or draw✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.42
Draw no bet
Deportivo Riestra (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
San Lorenzo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Deportivo Riestra to score first✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Recent results
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
LDDDDD
18 Mar
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Gimnasia M.
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Platense
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Huracan
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Newells Old Boys
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Lorenzo – last 6
WLDDDW
21 Mar
vs Deportivo Rincon
5–0
W
16 Mar
vs Defensa Y Justicia
2–5
L
11 Mar
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Talleres Cordoba
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Instituto Cordoba
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 33% and San Lorenzo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–0 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo?
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
