Independ. Rivadavia 31%Draw 29%Rosario Central 40%Expected goals 1.05 – 1.28
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 2.78 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRosario Central to win ✗40% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rosario Central travel to face Independ. Rivadavia on Monday 23 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Bautista Gargantini the venue – the ball rolls at 02:15 WAT. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 32 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd (among the top four) with 62.
Current form
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Gimnasia L.P., away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Rosario Central, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Banfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Independ. Rivadavia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.0 xG, Rosario Central 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 31%, draw 29%, Rosario Central 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Rosario Central to win @2.78 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independ. Rivadavia31%fair 3.19 · @2.78
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.85
Rosario Central40%fair 2.50 · @2.78
2.33Expected goals
1.05Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.28Rosario Central xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.0 – 1.3 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win✗
40%
2.50
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Rosario Central (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Independ. Rivadavia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
Rosario Central to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Independ. Rivadavia – last 5
WLDDL
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
12 Mar
vs Barracas Central
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs River Plate
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Racing Club
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Rosario Central – last 5
WDWLW
15 Mar
vs Banfield
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Talleres Cordoba
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Barracas Central
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independ. Rivadavia and Rosario Central.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Rosario Central 40%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bautista Gargantini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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