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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarmiento Junin v Aldosivi: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Eva Peron
Sun 22 Mar 2026
Sarmiento Junin 48%Draw 28%Aldosivi 24% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.84
76%
Betarazi pick

Sarmiento Junin or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSarmiento Junin to win48% · @2.20
Double chanceSarmiento Junin or draw76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.61

Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aldosivi travel to face Sarmiento Junin on Sunday 22 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Eva Peron the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Aldosivi are 29th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sarmiento Junin, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to River Plate, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Aldosivi, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huracan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 1.3 xG, Aldosivi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 48%, draw 28%, Aldosivi 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sarmiento Junin or draw (76%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sarmiento Junin or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Aldosivi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarmiento Junin48%fair 2.08 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.85
Aldosivi24%fair 4.12 · @3.80
2.17Expected goals
1.33Sarmiento Junin xG
0.84Aldosivi xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.3 – 0.8 Aldosivi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarmiento Junin to win48%2.082.20 ▲
Double chanceSarmiento Junin or draw76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.981.53
Draw no betSarmiento Junin (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapAldosivi +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals61%1.651.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals66%1.521.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.201.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.081.03
First team to scoreSarmiento Junin to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarmiento Junin / FT Sarmiento Junin28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015%6.61–

Recent results

Sarmiento Junin – last 6

LDWLLL
15 Mar@ River Plate0–2L
11 Marvs Racing Club0–0D
3 Marvs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0W
26 Febvs Union Santa Fe1–3L
20 Feb@ Estudiantes L.P.0–1L
14 Feb@ Huracan0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Aldosivi – last 5

DDLLW
16 Marvs Huracan0–0D
12 Mar@ Atletico Tucuman1–1D
3 Mar@ Banfield0–2L
23 Feb@ Union Santa Fe0–1L
17 Febvs San Miguel3–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Aldosivi.

Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi?

Our pick is Sarmiento Junin or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi?

On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Aldosivi 24%.

How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi?

Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Aldosivi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi?

Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Peron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.