Rosario Central 59%Draw 25%Atletico Tucuman 16%Expected goals 1.57 – 0.72
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRosario Central to win ✓59% · @1.64
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.13
Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Rosario Central v Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. In the table, Rosario Central are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 32 matches; Atletico Tucuman are 26th (lower half) with 32. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rosario Central, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Independ. Rivadavia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sportivo Barracas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Atletico Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rosario Central 1.6 xG, Atletico Tucuman 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rosario Central 59%, draw 25%, Atletico Tucuman 16%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosario Central 2–0 Atletico Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rosario Central59%fair 1.71 · @1.64
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.45
Atletico Tucuman16%fair 6.27 · @5.90
2.29Expected goals
1.57Rosario Central xG
0.72Atletico Tucuman xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rosario Central 1.6 – 0.7 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win✓
59%
1.71
1.64
Double chance
Rosario Central or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Rosario Central (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Tucuman +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Rosario Central to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Rosario Central – last 6
LWDWLW
23 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Banfield
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Gimnasia L.P.
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Talleres Cordoba
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Barracas Central
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
WWLDLL
25 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–0
W
16 Mar
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Aldosivi
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–3
L
25 Feb
@ Belgrano Cordoba
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosario Central and Atletico Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Rosario Central have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Tucuman 16%.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Rosario Central 2–0 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
