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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimnasia M. v Lanus: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Víctor Legrotaglie
1–0
FT

Lanus

WWLDL
Gimnasia M. 30%Draw 31%Lanus 39% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.07
70%
Betarazi pick

Lanus or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultLanus to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceLanus or draw ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.21

Gimnasia M. vs Lanus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:45 WAT, Tuesday 21 April: Gimnasia M. v Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Víctor Legrotaglie. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Lanus are 9th (upper half) with 50.

Current form

Gimnasia M., last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Velez Sarsfield, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Lanus, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Always Ready, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lanus, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Gimnasia M..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.0 xG, Lanus 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 30%, draw 31%, Lanus 39%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lanus or draw (70%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lanus or draw (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 0–1 Lanus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia M.30%fair 3.31 · @3.35
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.82
Lanus39%fair 2.55 · @2.38
2.04Expected goals
0.97Gimnasia M. xG
1.07Lanus xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.0 – 1.1 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLanus to win ✗39%2.552.38
Double chanceLanus or draw ✗70%1.431.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.55
Draw no betLanus (draw no bet) ✗56%1.77–
Asian handicapGimnasia M. +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.701.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.03
First team to scoreLanus to score first ✗46%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.21–

Recent results

Gimnasia M. – last 6

WLDDLL
3 Aprvs Velez Sarsfield3–2W
18 Marvs Estudiantes L.P.1–2L
12 Mar@ Deportivo Riestra0–0D
25 Febvs Independiente1–1D
21 Febvs Gimnasia L.P.0–1L
14 Feb@ Talleres Cordoba1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lanus – last 6

WWLDLW
16 Aprvs Always Ready1–0W
13 Aprvs Banfield1–0W
8 Apr@ Mirassol0–1L
2 Aprvs Platense0–0D
27 Mar@ Argentinos JRS1–2L
17 Marvs Newells Old Boys5–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Lanus.

Gimnasia M. vs Lanus head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?

Our pick is Lanus or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?

On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Lanus 39%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 0–1 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia M. vs Lanus?

Gimnasia M. vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.