River Plate 40%Draw 29%Boca Juniors 31%Expected goals 1.05 – 0.97
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win40% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 14.12
River Plate vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Liga Profesional Argentina brings River Plate against Boca Juniors at Estadio Monumental. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, River Plate are 7th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; Boca Juniors are 1st (leading the league) with 63.
Current form
River Plate, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Carabobo FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Boca Juniors, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Barcelona SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.0 xG, Boca Juniors 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 40%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 31%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate40%fair 2.52 · @2.22
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.05
Boca Juniors31%fair 3.22 · @3.40
2.02Expected goals
1.05River Plate xG
0.97Boca Juniors xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.0 – 1.0 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win
40%
2.52
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Boca Juniors +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
River Plate to score first
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
7%
14.12
–
Recent results
River Plate – last 6
WWDWWD
16 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Racing Club
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Huracan
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 6
WDWWWD
15 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Independiente
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ U. Catolica
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–0
W
23 Mar
vs Instituto Cordoba
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers River Plate have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Boca Juniors 31%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
River Plate vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentinos JRS1
Atletico Tucuman0
Aldosivi0
Racing Club0