Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 2.32 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓48% · @2.32
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Internacional vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Internacional welcome Palmeiras to Estádio Beira-Rio for a Serie A fixture on Friday 13 February (01:30 WAT). In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd (among the top four) with 73. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.0 xG, Palmeiras 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 26%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 48%.
Lower-risk option: Palmeiras or draw (74%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Palmeiras to win @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras or draw (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional26%fair 3.86 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Palmeiras48%fair 2.08 · @2.32
2.69Expected goals
1.02Internacional xG
1.67Palmeiras xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.0 – 1.7 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Internacional
Palmeiras
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
+41%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-42%
Our expected goals here
0.75
1.52
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
48%
2.08
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Internacional +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Internacional
No recent results on record.
Palmeiras
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Palmeiras.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Palmeiras or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Internacional vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Internacional have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Palmeiras 48%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Palmeiras?
Internacional vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.