Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Flamengo vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 2 September the Serie A brings Flamengo against Mirassol. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flamengo, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Botafogo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Mirassol, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Palmeiras, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Mirassol.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 2.2 xG, Mirassol 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 71%, draw 15%, Mirassol 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamengo71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @5.90
Mirassol13%fair 7.43 · @10.25
2.91Expected goals
2.16Flamengo xG
0.76Mirassol xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.2 – 0.8 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Flamengo vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Mirassol 13%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Mirassol?
Flamengo vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
