Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Paranaense to win ✓54% · @1.94
Double chanceAtletico Paranaense or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo in the Serie A, played at Arena da Baixada. In the table, Atletico Paranaense are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 34 matches; Botafogo are 11th (lower half) with 42. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Paranaense, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cruzeiro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Botafogo, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Palmeiras, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Paranaense 1.8 xG, Botafogo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Paranaense 54%, draw 25%, Botafogo 21%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Paranaense or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Paranaense or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Paranaense54%fair 1.84 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Botafogo21%fair 4.86 · @4.00
2.78Expected goals
1.78Atletico Paranaense xG
1.00Botafogo xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Atletico Paranaense 1.8 – 1.0 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Attack vs Serie A average
+14%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.85
1.01
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Paranaense to win✓
54%
1.84
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Paranaense or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Atletico Paranaense (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Atletico Paranaense to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Atletico Paranaense ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Paranaense / FT Atletico Paranaense✓
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Atletico Paranaense – last 5
WLDLL
18 Mar
vs Cruzeiro
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Fluminense
2–3
L
25 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Londrina
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Botafogo – last 6
LLLDDW
18 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Boavista SC
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Nacional Potosí
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Paranaense and Botafogo.
What is the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Atletico Paranaense or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Atletico Paranaense have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Botafogo 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo?
Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Baixada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
