Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Friday 20 March: Chapecoense-sc v Corinthians in the Serie A, played at Arena Condá. In the table, Chapecoense-sc are 20th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 33 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chapecoense-sc, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gremio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Corinthians, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santos, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chapecoense-sc 1.2 xG, Corinthians 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chapecoense-sc 30%, draw 26%, Corinthians 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chapecoense-sc30%fair 3.31 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.15
Corinthians43%fair 2.30 · @2.18
2.63Expected goals
1.18Chapecoense-sc xG
1.45Corinthians xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.2 – 1.4 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Attack vs Serie A average
-22%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+53%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.49
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✗
43%
2.30
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.85
Draw no bet
Corinthians (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Chapecoense-sc +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Corinthians to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Chapecoense-sc – last 3
DLW
17 Mar
vs Gremio
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Sao Paulo
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Brusque
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
DLLDWW
15 Mar
@ Santos
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Cruzeiro
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapecoense-sc and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Corinthians 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
