Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMirassol to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Mirassol vs RB Bragantino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RB Bragantino travel to face Mirassol on Monday 6 April in the Serie A, with Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Mirassol are 14th, lower half, on 40 points after 34 matches; RB Bragantino are 8th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Mirassol, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Botafogo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
RB Bragantino, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Flamengo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours RB Bragantino, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Mirassol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.3 xG, RB Bragantino 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 40%, draw 27%, RB Bragantino 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: RB Bragantino to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–1 RB Bragantino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirassol40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.25
RB Bragantino33%fair 3.02 · @3.40
2.43Expected goals
1.28Mirassol xG
1.16RB Bragantino xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.3 – 1.2 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Attack vs Serie A average
-9%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.14
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win✗
40%
2.50
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Mirassol (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
RB Bragantino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Mirassol to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Mirassol – last 4
LLDL
1 Apr
@ Botafogo
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Santos
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Portuguesa
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 6
WLLDDW
3 Apr
vs Flamengo
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Bahia
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Gremio
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Novorizontino
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and RB Bragantino 33%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
Mirassol vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.