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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mirassol v RB Bragantino: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
0–1
FT
Mirassol 40%Draw 27%RB Bragantino 33% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.16
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMirassol to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Mirassol vs RB Bragantino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

RB Bragantino travel to face Mirassol on Monday 6 April in the Serie A, with Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Mirassol are 14th, lower half, on 40 points after 34 matches; RB Bragantino are 8th (upper half) with 47.

Current form

Mirassol, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Botafogo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

RB Bragantino, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Flamengo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours RB Bragantino, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Mirassol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.3 xG, RB Bragantino 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 40%, draw 27%, RB Bragantino 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: RB Bragantino to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–1 RB Bragantino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mirassol40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.25
RB Bragantino33%fair 3.02 · @3.40
2.43Expected goals
1.28Mirassol xG
1.16RB Bragantino xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Mirassol 1.3 – 1.2 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MirassolRB Bragantino
Attack vs Serie A average-9%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-2%-12%
Our expected goals here1.231.14

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMirassol to win ✗40%2.502.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.80
Draw no betMirassol (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapRB Bragantino +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.08
First team to scoreMirassol to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mirassol / FT Mirassol ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.08–

Recent results

Mirassol – last 4

LLDL
1 Apr@ Botafogo2–3L
19 Marvs Coritiba0–1L
11 Marvs Santos2–2D
16 Febvs Portuguesa1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

RB Bragantino – last 6

WLLDDW
3 Aprvs Flamengo3–0W
18 Mar@ Bahia0–2L
16 Marvs Sao Paulo1–2L
13 Mar@ Gremio1–1D
25 Febvs Atletico Paranaense1–1D
16 Febvs Novorizontino3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and RB Bragantino.

Mirassol vs RB Bragantino head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?

On our numbers Mirassol have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and RB Bragantino 33%.

How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?

Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?

Mirassol vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.