Value bet: Atletico Paranaense to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Paranaense travel to face Botafogo on Tuesday 25 August in the Serie A, with Estádio Nilton Santos the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Atletico Paranaense are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cienciano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Paranaense, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with RB Bragantino, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Paranaense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Botafogo.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico Paranaense 4–1 Botafogo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.4 xG, Atletico Paranaense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 40%, draw 23%, Atletico Paranaense 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Atletico Paranaense to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Paranaense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo40%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Atletico Paranaense37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.67Expected goals
1.36Botafogo xG
1.31Atletico Paranaense xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.4 – 1.3 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Paranaense 37%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
