Value bet: Bahia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 38% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRB Bragantino to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24
RB Bragantino vs Bahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bahia travel to face RB Bragantino on Saturday 5 September in the Serie A – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, RB Bragantino are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Bahia are 6th (upper half) with 53.
Current form
RB Bragantino, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sao Paulo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bahia, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Internacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bahia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for RB Bragantino.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Bahia 2–0 RB Bragantino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.3 xG, Bahia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 41%, draw 22%, Bahia 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Bahia to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–1 Bahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Bragantino41%fair 2.46 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Bahia38%fair 2.66 · @3.30
2.47Expected goals
1.27RB Bragantino xG
1.20Bahia xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.3 – 1.2 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bahia 38%.
How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–1 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
RB Bragantino vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
