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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Internacional v Corinthians: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Beira Rio
2–1
FT
Internacional 44%Draw 23%Corinthians 33% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.03
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultInternacional to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82

Internacional vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Internacional welcome Corinthians to Estádio Beira Rio for a Serie A fixture on Wednesday 7 October (23:30 WAT). In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Internacional, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sao Paulo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Corinthians, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fluminense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Internacional, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Corinthians.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Corinthians 2–1 Internacional. The last 3 head-to-heads: Internacional 2 wins, Corinthians 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.2 xG, Corinthians 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 44%, draw 23%, Corinthians 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Corinthians to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–0 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Internacional44%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Corinthians33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
2.27Expected goals
1.24Internacional xG
1.03Corinthians xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Internacional 1.2 – 1.0 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInternacional to win ✓44%2.302.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.981.85
Draw no betInternacional (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapCorinthians +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreInternacional to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Internacional / FT Internacional ✓23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.82–

Recent results

Internacional – last 6

LWLLLD
20 Sep@ Sao Paulo0–1L
12 Sep@ Chapecoense-sc2–1W
6 Sepvs Santos2–3L
4 Sep@ Gremio1–3L
30 Aug@ Bahia2–3L
28 Augvs Gremio0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Corinthians – last 6

LLLDLL
20 Sepvs Fluminense1–3L
17 Sepvs Estudiantes L.P.0–1L
13 Sep@ Flamengo1–2L
10 Sep@ Estudiantes L.P.1–1D
6 Sepvs Chapecoense-sc1–2L
30 Augvs Santos0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026Corinthians v Internacional2–1
2 Aug 2026Internacional v Corinthians2–0
5 Apr 2026Corinthians v Internacional0–1
Internacional vs Corinthians head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Internacional vs Corinthians?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Internacional vs Corinthians?

On our numbers Internacional have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Corinthians 33%.

How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Corinthians?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Corinthians?

Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Internacional vs Corinthians?

Internacional vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira Rio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.