Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Serie A brings Flamengo against Atletico-MG at Estádio do Maracanã. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Atletico-MG are 7th (upper half) with 50. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flamengo, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Estudiantes L.P., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico-MG, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Torque, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 1.9 xG, Atletico-MG 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 65%, draw 18%, Atletico-MG 16%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flamengo to win (65%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 1–0 Atletico-MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamengo65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @5.00
Atletico-MG16%fair 6.09 · @8.50
2.63Expected goals
1.87Flamengo xG
0.76Atletico-MG xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Flamengo 1.9 – 0.8 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
65%
1.53
1.30
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Flamengo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Flamengo to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.43
–
Recent results
Flamengo – last 6
DWDWDW
23 Oct
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Bahia
3–0
W
16 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Fluminense
1–0
W
8 Oct
@ Santos
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs RB Bragantino
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico-MG – last 6
LWWWDW
21 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Coritiba
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Atletico Torque
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Santos
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Atletico Paranaense
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs RB Bragantino
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Atletico-MG.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico-MG 16%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
