Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultSantos to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Santos vs Bahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bahia travel to face Santos on Sunday 25 October in the Serie A, with Estádio Urbano Caldeira the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Bahia are 6th (upper half) with 53.
Current form
Santos, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fluminense, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Bahia, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Flamengo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.9 xG, Bahia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 64%, draw 16%, Bahia 21%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santos to win (64%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–0 Bahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @3.80
Bahia21%fair 4.82 · @3.60
2.85Expected goals
1.92Santos xG
0.93Bahia xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Santos 1.9 – 0.9 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✗
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Santos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Santos to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Santos ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Santos – last 6
WLDWWL
18 Oct
@ Fluminense
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
8 Oct
vs Flamengo
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Remo
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Atletico-MG
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bahia – last 6
LWLLWW
18 Oct
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Mirassol
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Palmeiras
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Remo
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ RB Bragantino
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Bahia.
Our pick is Santos to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Santos vs Bahia?
On our numbers Santos have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bahia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Bahia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–0 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Bahia?
Santos vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
