Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceCorinthians or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Corinthians vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mirassol travel to face Corinthians on Saturday 31 October in the Serie A, with Neo Quimica Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Corinthians are 17th, lower half, on 37 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Corinthians, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Mirassol, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sao Paulo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mirassol, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Corinthians.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Mirassol 2–1 Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians 1.7 xG, Mirassol 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians 61%, draw 24%, Mirassol 15%.
Lower-risk option: Corinthians or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Corinthians to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Corinthians or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians 1–0 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Corinthians61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.40
Mirassol15%fair 6.58 · @4.20
2.47Expected goals
1.74Corinthians xG
0.73Mirassol xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.7 – 0.7 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Our pick is Corinthians or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mirassol 15%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Corinthians vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
