Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol in the Serie A, played at Arena Condá. In the table, Chapecoense-sc are 20th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 33 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to RB Bragantino, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Mirassol, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Corinthians, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mirassol, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Chapecoense-sc.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chapecoense-sc 1.1 xG, Mirassol 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chapecoense-sc 27%, draw 22%, Mirassol 51%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chapecoense-sc27%fair 3.75 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Mirassol51%fair 1.96 · @2.05
2.76Expected goals
1.11Chapecoense-sc xG
1.65Mirassol xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.1 – 1.7 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win✓
51%
1.96
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Mirassol (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Chapecoense-sc +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Mirassol to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
LWLLLD
28 Oct
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
8 Oct
@ Vitoria
0–4
L
26 Sep
@ Atletico Nacional
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 6
LDWLDW
31 Oct
@ Corinthians
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Sao Paulo
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Internacional
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Bahia
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Botafogo
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mirassol 51%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
