Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Cruzeiro vs Bahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bahia travel to face Cruzeiro on Friday 6 November in the Serie A, with Governador Magalhães Pinto the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Cruzeiro are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Bahia are 6th (upper half) with 53.
Current form
Cruzeiro, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico-MG, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bahia, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sao Paulo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Bahia.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 2.1 xG, Bahia 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 63%, draw 24%, Bahia 14%.
Lower-risk option: Cruzeiro or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cruzeiro to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 2–0 Bahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.90
Bahia14%fair 7.32 · @4.33
2.98Expected goals
2.08Cruzeiro xG
0.90Bahia xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.1 – 0.9 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cruzeiro to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bahia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
