Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✓75% · @1.14
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Flamengo vs Gremio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flamengo welcome Gremio to Estádio do Maracanã for a Serie A fixture on Wednesday 4 November (23:30 WAT). In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Gremio are 18th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flamengo, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Vasco DA Gama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Gremio, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico-MG, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Gremio.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Gremio 0–1 Flamengo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 2.5 xG, Gremio 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 75%, draw 16%, Gremio 9%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 3–0 Gremio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamengo75%fair 1.33 · @1.14
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @8.00
Gremio9%fair 11.00 · @17.00
3.20Expected goals
2.46Flamengo xG
0.74Gremio xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.5 – 0.7 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Flamengo vs Gremio?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Gremio 9%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Gremio?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 3–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Gremio?
Flamengo vs Gremio (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
