Value bet: Vitoria to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✓38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Vitoria vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Serie A brings Vitoria against Fluminense at Barradao. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Vitoria are 15th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Fluminense are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Coritiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fluminense, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Internacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.3 xG, Fluminense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 38%, draw 23%, Fluminense 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Vitoria to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.25
Fluminense38%fair 2.60 · @2.60
2.62Expected goals
1.31Vitoria xG
1.31Fluminense xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.3 – 1.3 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✓
38%
2.60
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Fluminense (draw no bet)✓
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Vitoria +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Fluminense to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✓
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Vitoria – last 6
LDDLWL
29 Oct
@ Coritiba
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
1–2
L
8 Oct
vs Chapecoense-sc
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Cruzeiro
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
WLWLLL
28 Oct
vs Internacional
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
22 Oct
@ Palmeiras
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Santos
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Flamengo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and Fluminense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vitoria vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fluminense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Vitoria vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
