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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santos Laguna v Mazatlán: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio TSM Corona
Santos Laguna 53%Draw 23%Mazatlán 24% Expected goals 1.83 – 1.20
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSantos Laguna to win ✗53% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mazatlán travel to face Santos Laguna on Monday 16 February in the Liga MX, with Estadio TSM Corona the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santos Laguna 1.8 xG, Mazatlán 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santos Laguna 53%, draw 23%, Mazatlán 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos Laguna 1–1 Mazatlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santos Laguna53%fair 1.90 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Mazatlán24%fair 4.18 · @3.80
3.03Expected goals
1.83Santos Laguna xG
1.20Mazatlán xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.8 – 1.2 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Santos LagunaMazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average+0%+3%
Goals conceded vs average-14%+14%
Our expected goals here1.831.25

Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantos Laguna to win ✗53%1.901.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.60
Draw no betSantos Laguna (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapMazatlán +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
First team to scoreSantos Laguna to score first58%1.74–
Half-time resultSantos Laguna ahead at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santos Laguna / FT Santos Laguna ✗32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Santos Laguna

No recent results on record.

Mazatlán

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Mazatlán.

Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?

On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mazatlán 24%.

How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?

Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán?

Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.