On Saturday 14 March the Liga MX brings Puebla against Necaxa at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Puebla are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Puebla, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pachuca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Necaxa, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to U.N.A.M. - Pumas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Puebla, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.6 for Necaxa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla 1.6 xG, Necaxa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla 48%, draw 27%, Necaxa 25%.
Lower-risk option: Puebla or draw (75%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Puebla or draw (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla 1–1 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla48%fair 2.08 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.30
Necaxa25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
2.74Expected goals
1.59Puebla xG
1.14Necaxa xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.6 – 1.1 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puebla
Necaxa
Attack vs Liga MX average
-19%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.07
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puebla to win✗
48%
2.08
1.91
Double chance
Puebla or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Puebla (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Necaxa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Puebla to score first✗
54%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puebla / FT Puebla✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Puebla – last 5
LWWLL
8 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Club America
0–4
L
14 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–3
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Necaxa – last 5
LLLLW
7 Mar
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Pachuca
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ FC Juarez
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla and Necaxa.
Our pick is Puebla or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Puebla vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Puebla have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Necaxa 25%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Necaxa?
Puebla vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
