Club America 65%Draw 19%Mazatlán 16%Expected goals 2.26 – 1.14
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub America to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceClub America or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Club America vs Mazatlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club America welcome Mazatlán to Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes for a Liga MX fixture on Monday 16 March (02:00 WAT).
Current form
Club America, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Philadelphia Union, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mazatlán, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Leon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mazatlán, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Club America.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club America 2.3 xG, Mazatlán 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club America 65%, draw 19%, Mazatlán 16%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club America 2–1 Mazatlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club America65%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @5.10
Mazatlán16%fair 6.41 · @8.10
3.40Expected goals
2.26Club America xG
1.14Mazatlán xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Club America 2.3 – 1.1 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club America
Mazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average
+42%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.60
1.49
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✓
65%
1.53
1.33
Double chance
Club America or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Club America (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Club America -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
First team to score
Club America to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Club America ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Club America – last 6
WWLLWL
11 Mar
@ Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Club Queretaro
2–1
W
5 Mar
vs FC Juarez
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ Puebla
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 5
WLWDW
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club America and Mazatlán.
What is the prediction for Club America vs Mazatlán?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Club America vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Club America have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mazatlán 16%.
How many goals will there be in Club America vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club America vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Club America 2–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Club America vs Mazatlán?
Club America vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
