Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✗59% · @1.50
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the Liga MX brings Guadalajara Chivas against U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Estadio Akron. Kick-off: 03:07 WAT. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Monterrey, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club America, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 1.9 xG, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 59%, draw 21%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 20%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (80%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas59%fair 1.70 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.45
U.N.A.M. - Pumas20%fair 5.08 · @5.60
2.94Expected goals
1.88Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.07U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.9 – 1.1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+8%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.10
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
U.N.A.M. - Pumas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
WWWWLL
22 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Leon
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Toluca
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
WDWLDW
22 Mar
vs Club America
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Necaxa
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Toluca
2–3
L
28 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Monterrey
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 20%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 03:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
