Value bet: Mazatlán to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMazatlán to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 18 April: Mazatlán v Club Queretaro in the Liga MX, played at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Current form
Mazatlán, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Necaxa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Club Queretaro, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Necaxa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mazatlán 1.5 xG, Club Queretaro 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mazatlán 40%, draw 24%, Club Queretaro 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Mazatlán to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mazatlán 1–1 Club Queretaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mazatlán40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.45
Club Queretaro36%fair 2.80 · @2.44
2.86Expected goals
1.54Mazatlán xG
1.32Club Queretaro xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mazatlán 1.5 – 1.3 Club Queretaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
Attack vs Liga MX average
+3%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.73
1.28
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mazatlán to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Mazatlán (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Club Queretaro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Mazatlán to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mazatlán / FT Mazatlán✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Mazatlán – last 6
LDLWLW
4 Apr
@ Necaxa
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Club America
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–4
L
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Club Queretaro – last 6
WDWDDL
12 Apr
vs Necaxa
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs FC Juarez
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Toluca
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atlas
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Club America
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazatlán and Club Queretaro.
What is the prediction for Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro?
On our numbers Mazatlán have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Queretaro 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro?
Our predicted score is Mazatlán 1–1 Club Queretaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro?
Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
