Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shamrock Rovers welcome Dundalk to Tallaght Stadium for a Premier Division fixture on Monday 23 February (21:00 WAT). In the table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 2.0 xG, Dundalk 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 60%, draw 21%, Dundalk 19%.
Lower-risk option: Shamrock Rovers or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shamrock Rovers60%fair 1.67 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.85
Dundalk19%fair 5.32 · @5.75
3.10Expected goals
1.97Shamrock Rovers xG
1.12Dundalk xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 2.0 – 1.1 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shamrock Rovers to win✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Double chance
Shamrock Rovers or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.11
First team to score
Shamrock Rovers to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Shamrock Rovers ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Shamrock Rovers – last 1
W
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundalk 19%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
