Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗38% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Monday 9 March: Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division, played at Tolka Park. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Shamrock Rovers are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Shamrock Rovers, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Derry City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.5 xG, Shamrock Rovers 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 38%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne38%fair 2.60 · @2.58
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.15
Shamrock Rovers36%fair 2.77 · @2.74
2.85Expected goals
1.47Shelbourne xG
1.38Shamrock Rovers xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.5 – 1.4 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
38%
2.60
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Shelbourne (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Shamrock Rovers +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
Shelbourne to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Shelbourne – last 3
LWD
6 Mar
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shamrock Rovers – last 4
WLDW
6 Mar
vs Derry City
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Bohemians
2–3
L
23 Feb
vs Dundalk
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Shamrock Rovers.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 36%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
