Dundalk vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dundalk welcome Derry City to Oriel Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 10 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over St Patrick's Athl., at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sligo Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Derry City.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Derry City 2–2 Dundalk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.4 xG, Derry City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 39%, draw 25%, Derry City 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk39%fair 2.58 · @2.56
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Derry City36%fair 2.77 · @2.68
2.87Expected goals
1.45Dundalk xG
1.43Derry City xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.4 – 1.4 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Dundalk vs Derry City?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Derry City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Derry City?
Dundalk vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
