Value bet: Waterford to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWaterford to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.83
Waterford vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Drogheda United travel to face Waterford on Monday 18 May in the Premier Division, with Regional Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Waterford, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Drogheda United, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Derry City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Drogheda United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Waterford.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Drogheda United 2–0 Waterford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.6 xG, Drogheda United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 41%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Waterford to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterford41%fair 2.45 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.45
Drogheda United35%fair 2.86 · @2.44
2.89Expected goals
1.61Waterford xG
1.28Drogheda United xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.6 – 1.3 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Waterford have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Drogheda United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Waterford vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
