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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Derry City v Shelbourne: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
0–0
FT
Derry City 42%Draw 25%Shelbourne 32% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.23
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerry City to win ✗42% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Derry City vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Monday 25 May: Derry City v Shelbourne in the Premier Division, played at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Shelbourne are 4th (among the top four) with 49. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Derry City, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with St Patrick's Athl., at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Shelbourne, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Waterford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Shelbourne 1–2 Derry City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Derry City 1 win, Shelbourne 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.5 xG, Shelbourne 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 42%, draw 25%, Shelbourne 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Derry City42%fair 2.38 · @2.32
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Shelbourne32%fair 3.08 · @3.00
2.72Expected goals
1.49Derry City xG
1.23Shelbourne xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Derry City 1.5 – 1.2 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerry City to win ✗42%2.382.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.80
Draw no betDerry City (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapShelbourne +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreDerry City to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Derry City / FT Derry City ✗25%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

Derry City – last 6

DLDDWD
22 Mayvs St Patrick's Athl.0–0D
8 May@ Drogheda United0–1L
4 Mayvs Galway United1–1D
1 May@ Bohemians1–1D
17 Apr@ Shelbourne2–1W
10 Apr@ Dundalk2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shelbourne – last 6

WDDWLL
22 Mayvs Waterford2–1W
8 Mayvs Sligo Rovers0–0D
4 May@ Bohemians2–2D
1 May@ Dundalk2–1W
24 Aprvs Drogheda United3–4L
17 Aprvs Derry City1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Shelbourne v Derry City1–2
13 Mar 2026Derry City v Shelbourne1–2
Derry City vs Shelbourne head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Derry City vs Shelbourne?

On our numbers Derry City have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shelbourne 32%.

How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Shelbourne?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Derry City vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.