Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City travel to face Shamrock Rovers on Monday 22 June in the Premier Division, with Tallaght Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Waterford, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Galway United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Derry City.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Derry City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 1.5 xG, Derry City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 51%, draw 26%, Derry City 23%.
Lower-risk option: Shamrock Rovers or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shamrock Rovers or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shamrock Rovers51%fair 1.97 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.40
Derry City23%fair 4.38 · @4.30
2.62Expected goals
1.55Shamrock Rovers xG
1.07Derry City xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.5 – 1.1 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Our pick is Shamrock Rovers or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derry City 23%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
