St Patrick's Athl. 59%Draw 23%Dundalk 18%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.03
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗59% · @1.56
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 24 July: St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk in the Premier Division, played at Richmond Park. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wexford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Dundalk, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over St Mochta's, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Dundalk.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Dundalk 2–0 St Patrick's Athl.. The last 2 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 1 win, Dundalk 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 xG, Dundalk 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 59%, draw 23%, Dundalk 18%.
Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St Patrick's Athl.59%fair 1.71 · @1.56
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.10
Dundalk18%fair 5.50 · @5.40
2.92Expected goals
1.90St Patrick's Athl. xG
1.03Dundalk xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 – 1.0 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundalk 18%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
