Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Premier Division brings St Patrick's Athl. against Derry City at Richmond Park. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dundalk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HNK Rijeka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Derry City.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Derry City 0–0 St Patrick's Athl.. The last 2 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 0 wins, Derry City 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 0.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 xG, Derry City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 52%, draw 27%, Derry City 20%.
Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St Patrick's Athl.52%fair 1.91 · @1.75
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.45
Derry City20%fair 4.95 · @4.75
2.41Expected goals
1.49St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.92Derry City xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.5 – 0.9 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Derry City 20%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
