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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl.: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Tolka Park
1–2
FT
Shelbourne 33%Draw 26%St Patrick's Athl. 41% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.35
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.81

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shelbourne welcome St Patrick's Athl. to Tolka Park for a Premier Division fixture on Sunday 9 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60.

Current form

Shelbourne, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ajax, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Derry City, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Shelbourne.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Shelbourne 2–3 St Patrick's Athl..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.2 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 33%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shelbourne33%fair 3.04 · @3.20
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
St Patrick's Athl.41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
2.58Expected goals
1.23Shelbourne xG
1.35St Patrick's Athl. xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.2 – 1.3 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓41%2.442.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.83
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapShelbourne +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✓23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.81–

Recent results

Shelbourne – last 6

LLLWDD
6 Aug@ Ajax1–3L
2 Aug@ Waterford0–1L
30 Jul@ Kalju Nomme1–2L
23 Julvs Kalju Nomme5–2W
17 Jul@ Kerry2–2D
7 Julvs Celtic1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

DDWWDW
2 Augvs Derry City1–1D
24 Julvs Dundalk1–1D
17 Julvs Wexford2–1W
14 Jul@ Doncaster4–2W
10 Jul@ Waterford1–1D
3 Julvs Galway United3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl.2–3
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

On our numbers Shelbourne have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and St Patrick's Athl. 41%.

How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.