Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City welcome Shamrock Rovers to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium for a Premier Division fixture on Sunday 30 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Shamrock Rovers are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Bohemians, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KuPS, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Derry City 0 wins, Shamrock Rovers 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.3 xG, Shamrock Rovers 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 39%, draw 22%, Shamrock Rovers 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Shamrock Rovers38%fair 2.62 · @2.60
2.60Expected goals
1.31Derry City xG
1.29Shamrock Rovers xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.3 – 1.3 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Derry City have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shamrock Rovers 38%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
