Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Richmond Park
0–2
FT
St Patrick's Athl. 69%Draw 20%Waterford 11% Expected goals 2.18 – 0.76
69%
Betarazi pick

St Patrick's Athl. to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗69% · @1.33
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✗89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48

St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

St Patrick's Athl. welcome Waterford to Richmond Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Drogheda United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Waterford, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sligo Rovers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Waterford 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. The last 3 head-to-heads: St Patrick's Athl. 2 wins, Waterford 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 2.2 xG, Waterford 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 69%, draw 20%, Waterford 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was St Patrick's Athl. to win (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St Patrick's Athl.69%fair 1.45 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.85
Waterford11%fair 9.32 · @9.00
2.94Expected goals
2.18St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.76Waterford xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 2.2 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗69%1.451.33
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✗89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.77
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✗87%1.16–
Asian handicapSt Patrick's Athl. -1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✗70%1.42–
Half-time resultSt Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time ✗50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WDWDDW
21 Aug@ Drogheda United2–0W
16 Augvs Shamrock Rovers2–2D
9 Aug@ Shelbourne2–1W
2 Augvs Derry City1–1D
24 Julvs Dundalk1–1D
17 Julvs Wexford2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Waterford – last 6

DWWWDW
21 Aug@ Sligo Rovers0–0D
14 Augvs Athlone Town2–1W
9 Augvs Bohemians3–1W
2 Augvs Shelbourne1–0W
25 Jul@ Galway United0–0D
17 Julvs Cobh Ramblers2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jul 2026Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.1–1
8 May 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford4–1
20 Mar 2026Waterford v St Patrick's Athl.0–2
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

Our pick is St Patrick's Athl. to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Waterford 11%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.