Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Derry City to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City welcome St Patrick's Athl. to Brandywell Stadium for a Premier Division fixture on Monday 19 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Drogheda United, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shelbourne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Derry City. The last 3 head-to-heads: Derry City 0 wins, St Patrick's Athl. 0, draws 3. Those games averaged 0.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.1 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 32%, draw 23%, St Patrick's Athl. 45%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Derry City to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City32%fair 3.11 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
St Patrick's Athl.45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
2.56Expected goals
1.14Derry City xG
1.42St Patrick's Athl. xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.1 – 1.4 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Derry City have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and St Patrick's Athl. 45%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
