Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBohemians to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Dundalk vs Bohemians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bohemians travel to face Dundalk on Friday 2 October in the Premier Division, with Oriel Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Bohemians are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Shelbourne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Bohemians, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bohemians 1905, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bohemians, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Dundalk.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jun 2026) it ended Bohemians 1–2 Dundalk. The last 3 head-to-heads: Dundalk 1 win, Bohemians 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.1 xG, Bohemians 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 23%, draw 19%, Bohemians 59%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Bohemians to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Bohemians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.50
Bohemians59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
3.08Expected goals
1.11Dundalk xG
1.97Bohemians xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.1 – 2.0 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Dundalk vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bohemians 59%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Bohemians?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Bohemians?
Dundalk vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.