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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundalk v Bohemians: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Oriel Park

Dundalk

LLDLW
1–2
FT
Dundalk 23%Draw 19%Bohemians 59% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.97
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBohemians to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.11

Dundalk vs Bohemians: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bohemians travel to face Dundalk on Friday 2 October in the Premier Division, with Oriel Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Bohemians are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dundalk, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Shelbourne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Bohemians, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bohemians 1905, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bohemians, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Dundalk.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jun 2026) it ended Bohemians 1–2 Dundalk. The last 3 head-to-heads: Dundalk 1 win, Bohemians 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.1 xG, Bohemians 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 23%, draw 19%, Bohemians 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Bohemians to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Bohemians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundalk23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.50
Bohemians59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
3.08Expected goals
1.11Dundalk xG
1.97Bohemians xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Dundalk 1.1 – 2.0 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBohemians to win ✓59%1.711.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.50
Draw no betBohemians (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapDundalk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreBohemians to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultBohemians ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bohemians / FT Bohemians ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.11–

Recent results

Dundalk – last 6

LLDLWL
18 Sepvs Shelbourne2–3L
14 Sepvs St Patrick's Athl.0–4L
11 Sep@ Waterford1–1D
6 Sep@ Derry City2–4L
28 Aug@ Drogheda United3–2W
21 Augvs Galway United1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bohemians – last 6

DWWDWW
26 Sepvs Bohemians 19050–0D
18 Sepvs Drogheda United2–1W
11 Sep@ Galway United3–2W
5 Sep@ St Patrick's Athl.0–0D
28 Augvs Sligo Rovers3–0W
21 Augvs Derry City5–3W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jun 2026Bohemians v Dundalk1–2
8 May 2026Dundalk v Bohemians1–3
20 Mar 2026Bohemians v Dundalk1–1
Dundalk vs Bohemians head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Dundalk vs Bohemians?

On our numbers Dundalk have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bohemians 59%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Bohemians?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Dundalk vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.